2024 Oscar Winners Predicted by Five LLMs

![[DALL·E 2024-03-09 09.39.19 - A big computer on stage accepting an academy award.png]] I asked the best Large Language Models (LLMs) I could find, even paying for their premium tier what they would predict for winners of the 2024 Oscars, debuting tomorrow. Here were their picks. See all nominees at [The Oscars Website](http://oscars.org/oscars/ceremonies/2024) Scroll down to the bottom to see all the predictions. **Prompt** > You are a movie critic and Academy Awards expert who has made predictions on who will win the 2024 oscars in each category. These were the nominees below. Please give me your prediction for each category. Each one should have only one pick. [The nominees pasted here] ## Scoreboard |LLM|Predictions Correct| |---|---| |GPT-4|12| |Mistral Large|11| |Claude 3 (Opus)|8| |Pi|6| |Gemini Ultra|6| ## Where did they agree the most? All LLMs chose **The Zone of Interest** for Best International Feature Film and **Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse** for Best Animated Feature Film. <img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/b/b4/Spider-Man-_Across_the_Spider-Verse_poster.jpg/220px-Spider-Man-_Across_the_Spider-Verse_poster.jpg"> Best Animated Feature Film: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse <img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/2/24/The_Zone_of_Interest_film_poster.jpg/220px-The_Zone_of_Interest_film_poster.jpg"> Best International Feature Film: Zone of Interest (UK) ## Where did they disagree the most? None of the LLMs could agree on best visual effects with only Pi predicting correctly. <table> <thead> <tr> <th style="width: 160px">Category</th> <th style="width: 80px">GPT-4</th> <th style="width: 80px">Claude 3 (Opus)</th> <th style="width: 80px">Mistral Large</th> <th style="width: 80px">Pi</th> <th style="width: 80px">Gemini Ultra</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>Best Visual Effects</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/9/94/The_Creator_2023_poster.jpg/220px-The_Creator_2023_poster.jpg"> The Creator</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/2/2e/Napoleon_Film_poster.jpg/220px-Napoleon_Film_poster.jpg"> Napoleon</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/e/ed/Mission-_Impossible_–_Dead_Reckoning_Part_One_poster.jpg/220px-Mission-_Impossible_–_Dead_Reckoning_Part_One_poster.jpg"> Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One </td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/e/e0/Godzilla_Minus_One_Poster.jpeg/220px-Godzilla_Minus_One_Poster.jpeg"> Godzilla Minus One</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/4/4a/Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg/220px-Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg"> Oppenheimer</td> </tr> </tbody> </thead> ## Predictions Scroll horizontally to see full table. <table> <thead> <tr> <th style="width: 160px">Category</th> <th style="width: 80px">GPT-4</th> <th style="width: 80px">Claude 3 (Opus)</th> <th style="width: 80px">Mistral Large</th> <th style="width: 80px">Pi</th> <th style="width: 80px">Gemini Ultra</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>Best Picture</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/4/4a/Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg/220px-Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg"> Oppenheimer</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/8/88/Killers_of_the_Flower_Moon_film_poster.jpg/220px-Killers_of_the_Flower_Moon_film_poster.jpg"> Killers of the Flower Moon</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/4/4a/Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg/220px-Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg"> Oppenheimer</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/8/88/Killers_of_the_Flower_Moon_film_poster.jpg/220px-Killers_of_the_Flower_Moon_film_poster.jpg"> Killers of the Flower Moon</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/4/4a/Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg/220px-Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg"> Oppenheimer</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Best Director</td> <td colspan="3"><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/4/4a/Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg/220px-Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg"> Christopher Nolan (Oppenheimer)</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/8/88/Killers_of_the_Flower_Moon_film_poster.jpg/220px-Killers_of_the_Flower_Moon_film_poster.jpg"> Martin Scorsese (Killers of the Flower Moon)</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/4/4a/Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg/220px-Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg"> Christopher Nolan (Oppenheimer)</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Best Actor</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/6/62/Holdovers_film_poster.jpg/220px-Holdovers_film_poster.jpg"> Paul Giamatti (The Holdovers)</td> <td colspan="4"><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/4/4a/Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg/220px-Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg"> Cillian Murphy (Oppenheimer)</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Best Actress</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/f/f3/Poor_Things_poster.jpg/220px-Poor_Things_poster.jpg"> Emma Stone (Poor Things)</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/8/88/Killers_of_the_Flower_Moon_film_poster.jpg/220px-Killers_of_the_Flower_Moon_film_poster.jpg"> Lily Gladstone (Killers of the Flower Moon)</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/1/13/Maestro_poster.png/220px-Maestro_poster.png"> Carey Mulligan (Maestro)</td> <td colspan="2"><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/8/88/Killers_of_the_Flower_Moon_film_poster.jpg/220px-Killers_of_the_Flower_Moon_film_poster.jpg"> Lily Gladstone (Killers of the Flower Moon)</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Best Supporting Actor</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/4/4a/Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg/220px-Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg"> Robert Downey Jr. (Oppenheimer)</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/4/4a/Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg/220px-Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg"> Robert De Niro (Killers of the Flower Moon)</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/4/4a/Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg/220px-Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg"> Robert Downey Jr., Oppenheimer</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/f/f3/Poor_Things_poster.jpg/220px-Poor_Things_poster.jpg"> Mark Ruffalo (Poor Things)</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/4/4a/Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg/220px-Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg"> Robert De Niro (Killers of the Flower Moon)</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Best Supporting Actress</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/4/4a/Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg/220px-Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg"> Emily Blunt (Oppenheimer)</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/7/70/Color_Purple_2023_poster.jpg/220px-Color_Purple_2023_poster.jpg"> Danielle Brooks (The Color Purple)</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/7/76/Nyad_film_poster.jpg/220px-Nyad_film_poster.jpg"> Jodie Foster, Nyad</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/4/4a/Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg/220px-Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg"> Emily Blunt (Oppenheimer)</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/6/62/Holdovers_film_poster.jpg/220px-Holdovers_film_poster.jpg"> Da'Vine Joy Randolph (The Holdovers)</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Best Animated Feature Film</td> <td colspan="5"><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/b/b4/Spider-Man-_Across_the_Spider-Verse_poster.jpg/220px-Spider-Man-_Across_the_Spider-Verse_poster.jpg"> Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Best International Feature Film</td> <td colspan="5"><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/2/24/The_Zone_of_Interest_film_poster.jpg/220px-The_Zone_of_Interest_film_poster.jpg"> The Zone of Interest (UK)</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Best Original Screenplay</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/d/da/Past_Lives_film_poster.png/220px-Past_Lives_film_poster.png"> Past Lives</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/1/13/Maestro_poster.png/220px-Maestro_poster.png"> Maestro</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/d/da/Past_Lives_film_poster.png/220px-Past_Lives_film_poster.png"> Past Lives</td> <td>Anatomy of a Fall</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/6/62/Holdovers_film_poster.jpg/220px-Holdovers_film_poster.jpg"> The Holdovers</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Best Adapted Screenplay</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/f/f3/Poor_Things_poster.jpg/220px-Poor_Things_poster.jpg"> Poor Things</td> <td colspan="3"><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/4/4a/Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg/220px-Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg"> Oppenheimer</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/f/f3/Poor_Things_poster.jpg/220px-Poor_Things_poster.jpg"> Poor Things</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Best Original Score</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/4/4a/Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg/220px-Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg"> Oppenheimer</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/c/c3/Indiana_Jones_and_the_Dial_of_Destiny_theatrical_poster.jpg/220px-Indiana_Jones_and_the_Dial_of_Destiny_theatrical_poster.jpg"> Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny</td> <td colspan="3"><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/4/4a/Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg/220px-Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg"> Oppenheimer</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Best Original Song</td> <td colspan="3"><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/0/0b/Barbie_2023_poster.jpg"> "What Was I Made For?" From Barbie</td> <td colspan="2"><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/8/88/Killers_of_the_Flower_Moon_film_poster.jpg/220px-Killers_of_the_Flower_Moon_film_poster.jpg"> "Whazhazhe (A Song For My People)" from Killers of the Flower Moon</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Best Film Editing</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/4/4a/Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg/220px-Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg"> Oppenheimer</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/8/88/Killers_of_the_Flower_Moon_film_poster.jpg/220px-Killers_of_the_Flower_Moon_film_poster.jpg"> Killers of the Flower Moon</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/4/4a/Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg/220px-Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg"> Oppenheimer</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/f/f3/Poor_Things_poster.jpg/220px-Poor_Things_poster.jpg"> Poor Things</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/4/4a/Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg/220px-Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg"> Oppenheimer</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Best Cinematography</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/4/4a/Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg/220px-Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg"> Oppenheimer</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/8/88/Killers_of_the_Flower_Moon_film_poster.jpg/220px-Killers_of_the_Flower_Moon_film_poster.jpg"> Killers of the Flower Moon</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/4/4a/Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg/220px-Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg"> Oppenheimer</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/8/88/Killers_of_the_Flower_Moon_film_poster.jpg/220px-Killers_of_the_Flower_Moon_film_poster.jpg"> Killers of the Flower Moon</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/4/4a/Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg/220px-Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg"> Oppenheimer</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Best Visual Effects</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/9/94/The_Creator_2023_poster.jpg/220px-The_Creator_2023_poster.jpg"> The Creator</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/2/2e/Napoleon_Film_poster.jpg/220px-Napoleon_Film_poster.jpg"> Napoleon</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/e/ed/Mission-_Impossible_–_Dead_Reckoning_Part_One_poster.jpg/220px-Mission-_Impossible_–_Dead_Reckoning_Part_One_poster.jpg"> Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One </td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/e/e0/Godzilla_Minus_One_Poster.jpeg/220px-Godzilla_Minus_One_Poster.jpeg"> Godzilla Minus One</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/4/4a/Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg/220px-Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg"> Oppenheimer</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Best Sound</td> <td colspan="3"><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/4/4a/Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg/220px-Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg"> Oppenheimer</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/e/ed/Mission-_Impossible_–_Dead_Reckoning_Part_One_poster.jpg/220px-Mission-_Impossible_–_Dead_Reckoning_Part_One_poster.jpg"> Mission Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/4/4a/Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg/220px-Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg"> Oppenheimer</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Best Production Design</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/f/f3/Poor_Things_poster.jpg/220px-Poor_Things_poster.jpg"> Poor Things</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/2/2e/Napoleon_Film_poster.jpg/220px-Napoleon_Film_poster.jpg"> Napoleon</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/4/4a/Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg/220px-Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg"> Oppenheimer</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/8/88/Killers_of_the_Flower_Moon_film_poster.jpg/220px-Killers_of_the_Flower_Moon_film_poster.jpg"> Killers of the Flower Moon</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/4/4a/Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg/220px-Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg"> Oppenheimer</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Best Costume Design</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/0/0b/Barbie_2023_poster.jpg"> Barbie</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/2/2e/Napoleon_Film_poster.jpg/220px-Napoleon_Film_poster.jpg"> Napoleon</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/4/4a/Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg/220px-Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg"> Oppenheimer</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/8/88/Killers_of_the_Flower_Moon_film_poster.jpg/220px-Killers_of_the_Flower_Moon_film_poster.jpg"> Killers of the Flower Moon</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/0/0b/Barbie_2023_poster.jpg"> Barbie</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Best Makeup and Hairstyling</td> <td colspan="2"><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/1/13/Maestro_poster.png/220px-Maestro_poster.png"> Maestro</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/4/4a/Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg/220px-Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg"> Oppenheimer</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/f/f3/Poor_Things_poster.jpg/220px-Poor_Things_poster.jpg"> Poor Things</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/4/4a/Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg/220px-Oppenheimer_%28film%29.jpg"> Oppenheimer</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Best Documentary Feature Film</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/2/22/The_Eternal_Memory_poster.jpg/220px-The_Eternal_Memory_poster.jpg"> The Eternal Memory</td> <td colspan="3"><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/b/be/20_Days_in_Mariupol_poster.jpg/220px-20_Days_in_Mariupol_poster.jpg"> 20 Days in Mariupol</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/2/22/The_Eternal_Memory_poster.jpg/220px-The_Eternal_Memory_poster.jpg"> The Eternal Memory</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Best Animated Short Film</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/9/9d/WAR_IS_OVER%21_Movie_Poster.jpg/220px-WAR_IS_OVER%21_Movie_Poster.jpg"> War is Over! Inspired by the Music of John & Yoko</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/5/5f/95Senses.png"> Ninety-Five Senses</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/4/40/Pachyderme_2022_film_poster.jpg/220px-Pachyderme_2022_film_poster.jpg"> Pachyderme</td> <td colspan="2"><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/5/5f/95Senses.png"> Ninety-Five Senses</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Best Live-Action Short Film</td> <td colspan="3"><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/5/5d/Henry_Sugar_poster.webp/220px-Henry_Sugar_poster.webp.png"> The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/b/b3/The_ABCs_of_Book_Banning.jpg/220px-The_ABCs_of_Book_Banning.jpg"> The ABCs of Book Banning</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/9/9a/The_After_film_poster.jpg/220px-The_After_film_poster.jpg"> The After</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Best Documentary Short Film</td> <td colspan="4"><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/a/a4/The_Last_Repair_Shop_film_poster.jpg/220px-The_Last_Repair_Shop_film_poster.jpg"> The Last Repair Shop</td> <td><img style="height: 150px" src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/b/b3/The_ABCs_of_Book_Banning.jpg/220px-The_ABCs_of_Book_Banning.jpg"> The ABCs of Book Banning</td> </tr> </tbody> </table>